Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c02180f544319547444ecd2f4ca5b03f9a21d0e2befc4bae4fbda0c1bc13a3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc733…3805backed Yes | 15c | 2,010$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,639$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.83 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,350$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 15c | 1,161$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.15 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 9c | 1,123$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 283 | 32.5%92 W · 191 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 15c | 676.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 10c | 465.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 8c | 458$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 13c | 384.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 287.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 15c | 259.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…0a5cbacked Yes | 12c | 162$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 12c | 126.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 113.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 15c | 103.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…74aebacked Yes | 13c | 91.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…96ffbacked Yes | 15c | 65.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-07?Yes won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-05-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.