TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes41c43,301$17,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,750.92,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes44c23,600$10,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,363.168321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c19,651$12,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,791.218,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No57c17,496$9,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,533.9219952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c10,675$6,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,653.091,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No60c9,302$5,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,746.4475240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c6,917$4,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.985,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No57c6,437$3,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.0142250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c5,876$3,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.933,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes44c5,664$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.163925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No57c5,499$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.231,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No63c2,847$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.72,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes28c2,641$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.1421640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes10c2,409$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.97437.8%28 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No56c2,360$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.361,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…f14dbacked Yes1c2,040$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.88911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-85.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes35c1,572$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.6451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes34c1,376$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.682722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes27c1,223$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.437540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c1,133$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.821,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed No65c1,033$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.35966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes49c1,029$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Yes44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes27c964.29$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7399259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No56c928.16$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.391,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes44c898.33$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.031926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No58c891.03$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.6365058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No53c718.99$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.542,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No65c620.08$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.0821252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No56c577$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.32,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes43c525$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.2512827.3%35 W · 93 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes48c497.82$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.334139%16 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No56c357$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.081,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd0…21dbbacked Yes6c305.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.122875%21 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes44c284.09$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.731,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.21,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked No65c248.19$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.65848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes33c242.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No51c240$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.655155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No52c239.45$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.941,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes47c236.38$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes43c209$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8721349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes43c208.44$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3626745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0990…f36fbacked Yes22c206.54$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.42333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No69c204.7$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4620065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-63.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No69c172$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.621,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No70c160$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7363657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c151.76$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.771,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.524045%18 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No56c130.49$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3821844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.826749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No51c114$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.951668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d8…ceb0backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb272…3c86backed No56c106.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x113e…ca7cbacked Yes26c99.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.991040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+84.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked No57c96.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.493652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e9…4869backed Yes42c94.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No50c90.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0514254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x605d…1464backed Yes39c86.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No56c85.72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.753836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No57c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5542962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x303e…96ffbacked Yes43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No52c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.817560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No56c76.77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7817255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No65c75.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1619264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd16…37e7backed Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-64.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6da…6f5dbacked Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No52c70.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.726759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed No57c69.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.787554.7%41 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked No57c68.87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.575862.1%36 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Yes38c64.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.683053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed No68c64.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes42c61.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.81,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked No57c60.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.896056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No57c60.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.112948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.470055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb630…e38ebacked No57c59.65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.65540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes33c57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.811,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No60c55.09$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2720958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes40c52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes43c51.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2325955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1882434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Yes33c49.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.344355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No57c47.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.576451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No66c46.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.812755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ed…af7bbacked Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No72c44.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2842946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.24351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4851750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58ff…2b2ebacked Yes37c38.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.391250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked No57c38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.341560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.