TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,483 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No40c12,075$4,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,797.822,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c8,149$3,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,327.98,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes76c6,620$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.961172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No15c5,366$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.855,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes77c4,022$3,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.7230048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No30c3,358$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.9537540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No23c2,864$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.517437.8%28 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No69c2,244$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.1275240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No35c2,101$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.1521640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes77c2,040$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.46875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No22c1,350$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.221,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c1,345$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.771,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No66c1,340$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.461,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed Yes31c1,305$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+97.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No24c857.77$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.741,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes31c635.9$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.3120055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69eb…bbc3backed Yes32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes31c516.13$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.131,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked No17c391.32$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.525848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No22c368.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4689645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.588535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Yes29c295$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.451361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No71c281$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.511,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes79c272.15$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes48c250.04$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.042240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes32c236$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4834155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No36c235.7$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.122,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No12c230$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9413457.5%77 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No52c222$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.599259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No70c219.5$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6542250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes31c216.13$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1377151.4%396 W · 375 L-3.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes29c204$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.841,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes31c171.29$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.191926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes37c167.54$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1551945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…0416backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.672528%7 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No70c166.13$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.291,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No23c150.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2489846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Yes32c147.44$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.874045%18 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No71c141$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.113083.3%25 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…1297backed Yes30c133.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.331850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fd…4373backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x784a…06c3backed Yes74c129.22$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.221478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes31c127.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.224139%16 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No69c127.85$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.222,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No70c126.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.439454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes33c125.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7412827.3%35 W · 93 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No17c123.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.561,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes29c103$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.46315.9%10 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c101$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.71,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6910331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd1…6b22backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+101.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717862.8%49 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x113e…ca7cbacked Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+84.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee1…656dbacked Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+93%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No61c91.6$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0253836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes32c89.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.971921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd337…7564backed Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.33560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes75c82.37$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.592882.1%23 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x58ff…2b2ebacked Yes30c79.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.731250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No67c76.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2133745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90db…03d6backed Yes33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick28cpaid+143.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Yes33c74.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked No70c72.51$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7610767.3%72 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes51c71.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5218359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes79c70.89$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8916449.4%81 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes44c70.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3713451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No30c66.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.898252.4%43 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5227031.5%85 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No69c64.19$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2955155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7d…3ce8backed Yes31c64.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Yes31c62.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.234247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No69c60.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.094946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4226745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fbd…bbf7backed Yes30c59.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+154.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No70c57.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5170055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf3…8f91backed No53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes31c51.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.612744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No70c50.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.421668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Yes29c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+14.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ce6…8e94backed No71c49.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.481533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes30c49.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No25c47.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9115247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Yes30c43.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.331050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Yes74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-40.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a84…4406backed Yes36c40.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.821752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a85…a309backed Yes30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+74.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc64f…ad00backed Yes75c38.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.432339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ef4…95c7backed Yes31c37.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff27…8430backed Yes33c36.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.36475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+139.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No60c34.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9630858.4%180 W · 128 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb964…927fbacked Yes76c32.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.89366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes36c31.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1457157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes54c26.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9620958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bd…af6ebacked No71c25.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.39757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.558569.4%59 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes72c19.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No70c16.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.671,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc057…804abacked Yes73c14.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.01966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.