South American Leagues · resolved market
Will América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x829f82f590d16ffc873fb17ab6ff15b101be9023a4861899f7ba9baa84967294
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 41c | 1,610$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.57 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Yes | 78c | 1,284$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 1,167$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 30c | 1,037$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.35 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 973.63$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.09 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 838.49$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.24 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 703.7$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.7 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 599.77$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 388.75$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.05 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 46c | 346.35$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.63 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Yes | 62c | 322.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 40c | 155.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 151.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed No | 21c | 137$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 136.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 121.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 106.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 72c | 92.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 48c | 83.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 68c | 72.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 62c | 67.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 58c | 61.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 65c | 58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…96ffbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 48.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 51c | 47.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 43c | 42.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 27.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 71c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will América de Cali vs. CSyD Macará end in a draw?this page
- Will América de Cali win on 2026-05-28?No won
- Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-05-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.