South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd45bfcacd6c31580329acb8654d744a91931542cc269eebcc006db8b1df7a3ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed Yes | 31c | 1,845$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 1,480$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 1,265$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.05 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 1,222$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.53 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 71c | 844.83$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.83 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…19f9backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 43c | 560.76$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.74 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 69c | 239.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 201.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 57c | 180.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 160.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…a155backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 71c | 135.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 131.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 21c | 127.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 70c | 125.75$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 116.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 114.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 64c | 98.07$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Yes | 34c | 96.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 92.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 31c | 89.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 31c | 88.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 69c | 87.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 70c | 77.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 46c | 75.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed No | 74c | 65.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed No | 40c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 34c | 60.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 30c | 60.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 72c | 51.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 68c | 47.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 46.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 69c | 45.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 69c | 39.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 38.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed No | 69c | 35.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082f…05dabacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +59%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 70c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 24.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 23.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked Yes | 62c | 23.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 22.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 49c | 20.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa063…338fbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 67c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barcelona SC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?this page
- Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-05-05?Yes won
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.