South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fa3a4c371c71d2a1ed1e338734c9759186ab82e3a006f60dd0c86a15316c967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked No | 29c | 3,566$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.17 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 75c | 2,250$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Yes | 79c | 2,016$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.96 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 71c | 1,511$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.09 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 71c | 1,383$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.16 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 29c | 1,263$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.18 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed No | 25c | 1,110$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 747.21$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 72c | 576.39$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 72c | 572.8$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.04 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 28c | 549.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.22 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 29c | 546.6$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.52 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 28c | 333.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed Yes | 76c | 252.53$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 71c | 250.7$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 25c | 234.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 9c | 228.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 28c | 205.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 5c | 192.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 9c | 182.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 175.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 29c | 172.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 17c | 169.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed No | 28c | 154$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 28c | 151.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…a155backed Yes | 73c | 137.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed No | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 72c | 112.68$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed No | 22c | 102.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 30c | 94.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 16c | 91.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 29c | 87.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 71c | 81.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked No | 13c | 79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 76c | 75.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 73c | 67.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 70c | 57.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 25c | 55.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…49c5backed Yes | 73c | 54.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 28c | 49.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 72c | 42.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked No | 26c | 39.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 72c | 38.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…8b55backed Yes | 70c | 38.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 74c | 33.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 77c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc76d…cbcbbacked Yes | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 75c | 24.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1b…d550backed Yes | 72c | 21.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Yes | 72c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 76c | 19.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Yes | 80c | 18.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 73c | 18.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 72c | 17.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9089…aafebacked Yes | 74c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…aa7abacked Yes | 73c | 13.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Yes | 77c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-30?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Deportivo La Guaira FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-04-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.