TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,330 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No42c6,312$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,642.975,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Yes43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1501741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes52c3,638$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.771,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No57c1,732$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.081,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes72c1,614$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.052,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Yes55c1,600$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes32c1,388$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.62,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes36c1,362$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.2118952.9%100 W · 89 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No69c1,055$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.1717249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c970$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.11,10149.7%547 W · 554 L+3.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Yes27c589.37$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.131266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Yes52c577.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Yes42c557.69$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.232334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211b…1c13backed No55c545.17$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.881631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No59c517.89$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.821,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No61c443.99$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.165763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No33c431.33$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.041,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No28c346.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2684347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1232560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes17c299.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9615826.6%42 W · 116 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ca5…a155backed Yes74c268.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes35c246.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.447838.5%30 W · 48 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Yes42c199.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9913631.6%43 W · 93 L-13.8wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes41c183.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5396846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c169.54$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.61,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4919048.4%92 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes47c155.81$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6254354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No57c153.72$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.981,05341.9%441 W · 612 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes45c137.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3318647.3%88 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012153.7%65 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.773850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No29c115.02$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4839058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c100.5$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2189955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.527251.1%139 W · 133 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4497…d5a3backed Yes30c96.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes32c90.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2925742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No56c88.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9940156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0817…b071backed Yes23c87.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7eb…da58backed Yes70c85.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334953.1%26 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes51c80.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4516252.5%85 W · 77 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.620138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No73c74.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1527639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No65c73.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8236142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No55c72.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6418442.4%78 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked Yes43c69.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes35c68.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.285641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes61c67.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.591637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2442151.3%216 W · 205 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked No55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279859.2%58 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No80c53.87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0292235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5718445.7%84 W · 100 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No31c53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8214247.2%67 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes46c51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.468834.1%30 W · 58 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes32c50.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0446422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2019268.2%131 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe503…6d7bbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Yes41c46.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519451.5%100 W · 94 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked No56c44.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.712259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc060…2a5abacked Yes76c43.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick77cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013463.4%85 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No27c40.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1582053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Yes40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes43c39.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.165635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89db…d0efbacked No55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No63c34.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9123052.6%121 W · 109 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No58c34.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.320860.1%125 W · 83 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No58c33.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.928253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Yes46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f5…0c03backed No58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No54c29.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6932560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked No54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.787856.4%44 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No45c26.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6515470.8%109 W · 45 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No53c26.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.343452.1%226 W · 208 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked No58c24.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed No61c24.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.354551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b59…31b4backed Yes70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No61c20.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.095373.6%39 W · 14 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x637f…e492backed No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed No70c19.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.885664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No60c17.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.035271.2%37 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52ca…69c1backed Yes71c14.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.