TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-05-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,455 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes47c79,989$37,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,445.6729446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No47c25,000$11,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,630.2731643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No53c17,200$9,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,1165736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No53c9,855$5,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,223.1920053%106 W · 94 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No53c7,920$4,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,197.785543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes40c5,966$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,579.579454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaee…c167backed Yes48c5,310$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,739.94837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No43c4,698$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.7716647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No51c4,537$2,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.12,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No53c4,128$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.744254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No52c3,724$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.834852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c3,451$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.531,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed No53c3,385$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8004143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c2,857$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.422,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No55c2,335$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2847959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c2,313$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.893,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes73c2,192$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.3721765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes73c2,191$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.699763.9%62 W · 35 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+47.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c2,184$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.435,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes74c2,162$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.0720665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No53c2,031$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.6665058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No1c1,990$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.97437.8%28 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No53c1,636$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.1333560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes49c1,463$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.246357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No53c1,400$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74223057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No53c1,316$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.921,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes74c1,300$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6199259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No52c1,263$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No22c1,238$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.388,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No53c981.13$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No54c925.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes74c900$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23418160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No44c868.88$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.091,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed No58c863.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.337556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c805.69$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.851,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No56c713.14$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3642250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6710039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Yes73c665.75$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.752450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No53c525.02$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.2610467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Yes43c518.6$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.61573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+44.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No5c464.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.163,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No53c447.92$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1720022.5%45 W · 155 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.168351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes74c379.18$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5910875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes45c302$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.117352%90 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes74c266.66$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3319963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes49c263.47$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.961,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked No53c249.06$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes48c249$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.672,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Yes41c237.32$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes50c230$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1155646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2710242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No53c217.56$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.318955.1%49 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No53c201$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.533844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No53c191.51$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.59741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe01c…7f6cbacked No57c164$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.481764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes63c159.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7225044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No32c154.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0194848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca5…a155backed Yes69c145.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.011573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes45c128$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7226749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Yes50c115.38$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.693636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No34c110$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2167548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No53c107$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.713836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No53c101.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8312948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6051654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes65c91.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7241145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No59c90.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1825955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No53c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.441654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0213134.4%45 W · 86 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No51c86.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.911,44237.6%542 W · 900 L+4.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No53c74.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed No53c74.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4811861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes71c69.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3321640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked No59c65.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No55c64.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1970055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45ec…12eebacked Yes41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.984100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked No53c58.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.992650%13 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed No55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303557.1%20 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No37c53.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes74c53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7816864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes41c52.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.721844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.029344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes40c49.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5338861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a06…71c8backed No53c47.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked No53c47.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.935448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked No55c45.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.951952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c98…d2d1backed No53c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No53c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8563657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.445251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x326d…3584backed Yes40c43.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+60.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes49c40.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9378856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.217560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No56c39.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.546762.7%42 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…1f55backed Yes44c38.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.