TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-05-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5124…d922backed Yes2c20,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Yes2c20,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601421.4%3 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick6cpaid+221.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Yes2c15,900$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick9cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Yes2c15,900$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+525%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c1,204$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.048,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No30c1,101$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.451,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006949.3%34 W · 35 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No27c1,055$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.942250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No29c968.01$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.492,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No58c842.7$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.161,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No51c637.17$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.161,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No28c535.51$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.7814824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes65c494.09$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.1425866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No38c490.3$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.381,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c29…79b6backed Yes56c461.28$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No40c453.46$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.21,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes72c438.42$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.652,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No32c422.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.6313545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes61c409.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Yes68c393.76$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013247.7%63 W · 69 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes44c295.45$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes55c270.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507841%32 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes57c255$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.357047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes38c254.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes49c235.55$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Yes71c223.94$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes72c221.68$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.613073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca7e…b68ebacked Yes52c219.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Yes77c217$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.093545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes48c194.82$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9326745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No39c191.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No27c186$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7821349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes68c173.61$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.251,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No25c171.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4833745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes71c169$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9928651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes45c156.84$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes62c155.06$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb93a…b5f3backed Yes60c152.08$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca5…a155backed Yes73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes73c133$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.091225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2db1…a565backed Yes45c127.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No27c119.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.193,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Yes59c111$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.593046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…03e5backed Yes62c107.97$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.942748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6114254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9951654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No72c94.69$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8237540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes57c88.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3363657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes43c85.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.584452.3%23 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4921640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No37c72.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.096946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No47c65.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.667548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No27c63.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.351,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes69c60.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.995552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes65c53.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4694848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.521837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No33c46.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4821844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed No25c43.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.792544%11 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+57.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x692c…aadebacked No37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.541450%7 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes60c39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.311,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes54c38.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5830858.4%180 W · 128 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7983…c138backed No70c36.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No33c35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Yes68c34.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.464854.2%26 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed No40c32.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.53333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Yes62c31.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.777554.7%41 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes62c31.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.574841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa307…5174backed No37c31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+88.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f96backed Yes78c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205455.6%30 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No35c29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7242462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b35…bfa7backed Yes70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No57c25.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9925044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb9a…3639backed No40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No67c24.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9341145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0593…5118backed Yes77c24.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.591127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes75c21.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.921,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes72c18.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3716653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d90…3bbdbacked Yes77c18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.863246.9%15 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-23.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010966.1%72 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.