South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b2fd6471413d0b0f254cb5ba895b6d36beefbaea28cce16130134a1fd729d19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked No | 2c | 18,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +221.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed No | 2c | 18,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed No | 2c | 14,400$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +525%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed No | 2c | 14,400$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 1,851$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 565$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.35 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 65c | 509.99$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 80c | 456.52$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.22 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 45c | 438.26$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.39 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 42c | 225$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 17c | 205.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.91 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 50c | 178.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Yes | 44c | 154.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 32c | 133.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 77c | 129.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 109.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 102.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…56a2backed Yes | 21c | 100.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 93.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…be6abacked Yes | 26c | 79.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 68.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 46c | 66.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes | 19c | 60.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 67c | 59.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Yes | 71c | 56.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 35c | 55.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Yes | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 79c | 39.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 62c | 29.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…a77dbacked Yes | 70c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 56c | 24.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético end in a draw?this page
- Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-05-21?No won
- Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-05-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.