TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,309 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes58c4,085$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.553040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No15c4,071$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.4877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes57c2,900$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.141,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No27c2,554$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.7911454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No43c1,997$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.271,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes78c1,755$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.3539567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No43c1,675$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.0318655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes73c1,608$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.0118967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No30c1,366$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.0648344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No43c1,347$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.1213553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes68c1,054$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.93,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes71c836.93$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.192564%16 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No19c832.98$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2525851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No42c692.02$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3353046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No29c689$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0422042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No25c663.32$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.577953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No44c591.96$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.4611055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No39c583.77$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.878344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No44c581.1$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.797031.4%22 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked No50c570$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.973040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No43c510.19$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes57c450$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes56c446$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.2423858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No42c414.54$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No42c405.76$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Yes55c404.49$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.071060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No17c391.41$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes66c357.22$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3310644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No30c340.12$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.337726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No19c327.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7544350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Yes56c315$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes56c302.44$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Yes57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292483.3%20 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes72c271.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8715458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Yes74c270.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.53955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes74c269.68$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8610273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0ca5…a155backed Yes77c260.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.031258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Yes56c232.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.141553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes57c227.7$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9119560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes68c226.22$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.371,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes57c215.79$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7910243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes65c212.33$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5435247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes62c205$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.915676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes56c199.92$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9610757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No23c191.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes68c170.76$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8668150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No45c166$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No48c158$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8427058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes72c157.77$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7212343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No33c144$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.171,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No44c142.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.518651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes54c129$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9216159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes78c128.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick71cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4204…165abacked Yes56c127$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.88333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No42c125.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0971443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes71c124$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.327364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No20c119.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.527758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes57c110.19$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.386851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No43c105.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2813942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes78c102$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4452639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked No24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No19c98.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6910960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No40c93.31$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0922946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x491e…5ff4backed Yes30c91.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+232%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes56c88.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.159555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcab9…5df5backed Yes57c87.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.531625%4 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No48c86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.915638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed Yes75c84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2112247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No27c81.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3323953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No45c81.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4816657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes58c73.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9933346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No36c70.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7237249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No43c68.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2880358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No44c68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.928760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked No30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked No43c66.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.434650%23 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed No44c52.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x352a…ff24backed Yes58c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.55133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1236247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No39c47.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3224920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes58c44.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8124859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.15846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes66c40.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8231446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42548%12 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c26…c2d0backed Yes56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No45c38.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.355742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0912254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.096746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.485354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No38c33.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.716853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No33c33.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No40c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.554663%29 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Yes58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.66256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed No47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7626…1326backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc986…1654backed Yes56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.791428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d76…517cbacked Yes58c25.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes79c25.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.352138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.