Mls · resolved market
Will Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb21a55ec82b6663b359f166168c5b74a35c1bb2c947cf52e3ec16efe7fc90035
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 26c | 3,903$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.76 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 2,194$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.83 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 1,603$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.24 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 20c | 298.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 19c | 242.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 237.21$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 210.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 74c | 206.17$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 11c | 178.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 24c | 159.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…165abacked Yes | 23c | 127$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 22c | 124.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 79c | 123.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 80c | 111.6$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 12c | 93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 86.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 75.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…a9fcbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 45.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 75c | 43.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 75c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 79c | 19.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 77c | 14.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.