Tennis · resolved market
Francavilla: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Gustavo Heide
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4be923edd1be14a490c7c802f945f323a4c7abb6a4a43cf7636d6a6b7ff64392
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gustavo Heideof Stefanos Sakellaridis, Gustavo Heide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 17c | 2,177$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.66 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 7c | 2,044$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 17c | 1,908$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 24c | 1,345$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.55 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 8c | 1,301$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 29c | 574$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.21 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 22c | 518.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 19c | 517.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 19c | 479.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Gustavo Heide | 68c | 443.84$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 23c | 435$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 23c | 423.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 13c | 361.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 26c | 234.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 18c | 214.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 20c | 194.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 22c | 193.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…1f49backed Gustavo Heide | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 146 | 74%108 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 23c | 165.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Gustavo Heide | 78c | 162$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Gustavo Heide | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 33c | 148.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…a155backed Gustavo Heide | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 34c | 132.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Gustavo Heide | 67c | 126.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 32c | 112$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 17c | 110.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 19c | 110.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 24c | 83.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 32c | 74.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Gustavo Heide | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…7483backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 26c | 62.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Gustavo Heide | 67c | 59.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Gustavo Heide | 67c | 59.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 31c | 57.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Gustavo Heide | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Gustavo Heide | 77c | 55.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Gustavo Heide | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Gustavo Heide | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 32c | 45.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Gustavo Heide | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Gustavo Heide | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Gustavo Heide | 80c | 18.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gustavo Heide | 68c | 15.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.