TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes65c29,779$19,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,470.569649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No35c6,368$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.8877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No35c4,184$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.461,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No35c3,682$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.593,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No34c2,616$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.7998945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No36c2,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Yes65c1,335$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.1915647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4208547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd217…b3f3backed No35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2037…473dbacked No35c1,138$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3604141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No35c800$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28017258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No35c798$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.323858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No12c692.23$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1810753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21012263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No30c593.33$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7110960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No35c555.16$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No34c497.95$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No34c367$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7855750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No34c366.95$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7668550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No35c350$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.512661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10515858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No20c251.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.255547.3%26 W · 29 L+14.3wins+0.26per pick21cpaid+225.7%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes68c243.29$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5716657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No7c220.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.077726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked No35c173.69$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.792254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5210853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ca5…a155backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.516960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.514257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No36c146$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.564548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No36c142$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.541,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No35c128.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9110755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No18c124.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9920849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked No19c123.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.463141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes66c110.71$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1653040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No35c100.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2680358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3239234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3225934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No35c98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.39457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed No35c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.519960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No35c88.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8624859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2814459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No35c77.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.169052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No35c76.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6742947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No35c75.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.55257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No36c73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.281,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No35c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.514660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No35c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.514459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked No36c65.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.681442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No36c65.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0826150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33e…b4b6backed No35c64.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No36c63.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7419560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No18c62.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1824920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No35c62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.76642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes66c57.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.718868.2%60 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…daa0backed No35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No35c57.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9973438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed No20c51.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.314247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes80c51.54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.312564%16 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57140.8%29 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.56065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No23c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.336051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed No35c44.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes75c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2220660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No35c43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.053857.9%22 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No34c40.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6635149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240c…4c62backed No35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.465846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No31c38.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.878934.8%31 W · 58 L-16.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No38c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0611563.5%73 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes62c36.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0118655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.515259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.513560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Yes66c29.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.162875%21 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No36c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0815051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes65c27.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5318651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Yes65c25.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.921361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9089…aafebacked Yes66c21.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes65c20.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.115459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e93…be55backed Yes66c20.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Yes66c15.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.