TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,347 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x072c…f037backed Yes63c15,890$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,889.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No36c3,923$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.551,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No34c3,386$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.428,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No20c3,112$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No35c2,772$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.118740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes73c2,195$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.513850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No32c2,127$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.411,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No37c2,077$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.551,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No27c1,696$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.41,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes73c1,418$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.7913257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c1,256$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.265,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Yes69c1,237$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No39c1,033$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.8919952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1510657.5%61 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c29…79b6backed Yes63c938.81$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed No18c760.77$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.425062%31 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No27c700$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18916558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No33c680.12$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5723542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16224053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes74c530.89$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.031145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No34c482.24$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7610819.4%21 W · 87 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No27c479.59$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4924855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes73c458.05$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1742250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.417852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca5…a155backed Yes78c383.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.731573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes63c318.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.182454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8128851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8123056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed No28c282.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.279652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes72c264.69$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.762548%12 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes76c264.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.22560%15 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+50.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes70c251.01$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.31,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…920fbacked Yes62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed No30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No27c239.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5424956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5418358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No27c196$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9222457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No27c195.44$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7719559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No30c175.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8945253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No26c171.23$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5221345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No27c160$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.221358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes73c141.91$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.326949.3%34 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No27c140$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.820360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes73c119.96$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3926749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No36c116.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.431,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No15c112.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5689645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No30c102.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.851,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes74c100.84$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.224645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No26c100.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3794848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No29c99.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.787748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No28c96.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0610847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes62c96.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.018535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No21c85.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8485220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x40d2…1959backed Yes74c81.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes72c77.92$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7836339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No23c77.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9313248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked No33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No20c74.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3271619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x89db…d0efbacked No27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes62c70.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.821,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Yes69c67.86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.955648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Yes74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.578267.1%55 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5710966.1%72 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No23c67.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.628651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed No16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick35cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.218959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5640242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.558149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No36c54.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6219761.9%122 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes63c51.84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1876951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No26c44.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5829053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6861…b317backed Yes75c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Yes69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.482853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No36c43.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.657157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Yes65c43.21$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1612755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed Yes71c40.08$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.621163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No29c39.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5114254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d62…49c5backed Yes64c34.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.291450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No37c32.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.035141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdea…c050backed Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.676346%29 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked No48c22.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes62c22.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.576036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes71c20.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7b0…ae0dbacked Yes62c20.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3db…7bb1backed Yes71c15.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.