South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6baec54597fc3e868efc3889874f97015d77feda2c33848e042b4e1f282ebe1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 3,115$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 20c | 3,002$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.06 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 21c | 1,401$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 708.64$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed No | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 13c | 270.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 20c | 171.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 13c | 153.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 143.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 35c | 134.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 18c | 115.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 95.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 13c | 81.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 80c | 80.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…b0debacked Yes | 20c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 59.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 78c | 16.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 74c | 15.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. Club Libertad end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-05?Yes won
- Will Club Libertad win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.