Cricket · resolved market
Will the match end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84fe3c9348a113e4017f13f58e4c85dd19174e85453486fae0ae4d1c1337c9ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 1c | 4,979$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Yes | 4c | 2,882$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c3…0472backed Yes | 17c | 2,159$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.09 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 74c | 2,143$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.23 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f3…3173backed Yes | 6c | 1,288$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 49c | 1,277$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.03 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Yes | 43c | 1,093$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.28 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…81c4backed Yes | 2c | 842.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3941…bdcbbacked No | 80c | 831.31$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 5c | 803.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed No | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 47c | 735.74$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Yes | 28c | 712.58$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.27 | 116 | 25%29 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 52c | 640.09$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.97 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed No | 47c | 638.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Yes | 31c | 620.72$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.31 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…2f49backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde4…7bfdbacked No | 57c | 445$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…2381backed Yes | 4c | 396.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 121 | 22.3%27 W · 94 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9faa…bbedbacked Yes | 11c | 320$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed No | 50c | 307.67$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe104…d3f7backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes | 73c | 275.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…a155backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 69c | 193.35$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…b266backed Yes | 7c | 187.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Yes | 55c | 145.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…3ea3backed Yes | 15c | 143.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 60c | 138.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad92…f05ebacked Yes | 11c | 134.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 74c | 131.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 68c | 130.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…6720backed Yes | 29c | 117.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…7189backed Yes | 41c | 108.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…74bfbacked Yes | 51c | 101.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 46c | 90.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes | 52c | 88.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked No | 49c | 85.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…2a69backed Yes | 51c | 80.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed No | 48c | 77.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…ca07backed No | 31c | 77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed No | 50c | 71.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…03fcbacked Yes | 63c | 62.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2f…bc6abacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc698…9a4cbacked Yes | 28c | 57.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…35c3backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 60c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…7b04backed No | 44c | 31.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba22…4333backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a42…ad20backed No | 52c | 28.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 51c | 28.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked No | 48c | 28.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 48c | 26.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Yes | 58c | 23.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 51c | 23.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked No | 76c | 14.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match end in a draw?this page
- Will Bangladesh win?Yes won
- Will Pakistan win?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.