TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,810 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes48c3,304$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.741,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed No49c2,908$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.028143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes53c2,382$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.082454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes52c1,854$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.671957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No47c1,652$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.871,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No50c1,649$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.711442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c1,609$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.113,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb988…b6eabacked Yes50c1,561$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.35785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.47per pick39cpaid+194.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No48c1,266$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.0238646.9%181 W · 205 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5283461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes53c971.8$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.7524050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes78c831.24$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1111762.4%73 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No22c827.74$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.12729.6%8 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes70c740.22$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0717549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes75c668.63$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.672,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8682…15a9backed Yes52c587.71$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.611266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23515747.1%74 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes53c485.77$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4810251%52 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes72c459.02$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.411,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes52c453.82$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.839043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No47c451.41$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1642046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f11…4529backed Yes43c381.83$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.641163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes63c349.12$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9664043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No35c328.73$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.065375.5%40 W · 13 L+10.0wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+41.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes45c312.9$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7440744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes53c296.95$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.574134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes52c295.61$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.895944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No47c272.68$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1633047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes49c237.06$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.511136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes52c224.9$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.265455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes53c201.69$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.88363.9%53 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes48c196.72$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4455058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yes51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2511843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No47c164.8$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.461250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c162.46$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0456951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No42c153.82$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1311148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No47c152.87$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.853357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.59150.5%46 W · 45 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No53c143.77$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.29721.6%21 W · 76 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Yes52c143.66$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.962152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No37c120.75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0739857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No42c113.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8514055%77 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4522…ef10backed Yes70c111.64$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.49785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+86.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No21c107.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3928822.6%65 W · 223 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No33c105.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.055446.3%25 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes53c101.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.933167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes61c98.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4610865.7%71 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes52c97.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6213555.6%75 W · 60 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes76c96.22$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6920845.7%95 W · 113 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes31c95.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.142321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31d…e7a4backed No47c82.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed No56c74.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8610532.4%34 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No30c72.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.774744.7%21 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No30c72.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.776952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No30c69.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9615048%72 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes50c64.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3418140.3%73 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No48c63.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.891,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes30c61.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.015964.4%38 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No42c59.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3481732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes67c54.89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.167262.5%45 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No38c54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.525246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No50c53.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.966746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Yes27c53.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.782035%7 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No36c52.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6120548.3%99 W · 106 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No36c52.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.586842.6%29 W · 39 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes47c52.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.654165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes47c48.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.665756.1%32 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes53c45.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.552450%12 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes43c44.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.620540%82 W · 123 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e82…2821backed Yes62c44.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No48c40.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.684528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffa…23b8backed Yes43c40.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No30c37.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1418644.1%82 W · 104 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed No67c36.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes76c35.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3417749.7%88 W · 89 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes76c35.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3417852.8%94 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes76c35.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.348251.2%42 W · 40 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Yes70c34.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.38580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes47c32.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3620436.3%74 W · 130 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes47c31.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.495276.9%40 W · 12 L+13.0wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+72%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No44c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.532740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.714539.3%57 W · 88 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes47c29.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8416056.9%91 W · 69 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes51c29.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2715854.4%86 W · 72 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.423265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes73c25.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721355.4%118 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Yes45c25.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…8e2ebacked Yes67c25.32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.291060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No46c23.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.753935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes77c20.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.727554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4b9…7575backed Yes53c19.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes70c19.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6818554.1%100 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91bb…ae27backed Yes70c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.