Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x885437809d941011e77b832775b3a42ad464dc7824987cadb4efb4e6fcd0ddef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Nantesof Lille OSC, FC Nantes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FC Nantes | 62c | 2,340$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.6 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lille OSC | 38c | 948.81$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.76 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Lille OSC | 31c | 722.25$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Lille OSC | 24c | 298.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed FC Nantes | 63c | 259.82$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…a7b3backed Lille OSC | 43c | 254.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Lille OSC | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Lille OSC | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Lille OSC | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Nantes | 59c | 205.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed FC Nantes | 73c | 153.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked FC Nantes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Lille OSC | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd7…88e6backed Lille OSC | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Lille OSC | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked FC Nantes | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Lille OSC | 38c | 72.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Lille OSC | 40c | 62.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Lille OSC | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6632…6dc2backed Lille OSC | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Lille OSC | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed Lille OSC | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Lille OSC | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Lille OSC | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked FC Nantes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked FC Nantes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed FC Nantes | 67c | 30.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed FC Nantes | 67c | 23.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Nantes | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed FC Nantes | 60c | 20.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…0f16backed FC Nantes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)this page
- Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)Lille OSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.