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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
AS Monaco FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, AS Monaco FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,425 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5004139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked AS Monaco FC50c9,000$4,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,47012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed AS Monaco FC50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5002751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed AS Monaco FC50c6,648$3,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,326.1971140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Paris Saint-Germain FC51c5,079$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed AS Monaco FC49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Paris Saint-Germain FC49c4,449$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.131637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC51c3,941$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0103231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC51c3,169$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked AS Monaco FC50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5005060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Paris Saint-Germain FC50c2,500$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24931049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed AS Monaco FC58c2,397$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.21,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Paris Saint-Germain FC26c1,619$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.894427.3%12 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AS Monaco FC49c1,612$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.421144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe1d…3c69backed AS Monaco FC52c1,530$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Paris Saint-Germain FC48c1,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7256553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed AS Monaco FC49c999.97$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.992642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed AS Monaco FC51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC49c916.51$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.4887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Paris Saint-Germain FC50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed AS Monaco FC49c598.3$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.7829949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed AS Monaco FC51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.241353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC41c559$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.192564%16 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked AS Monaco FC50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+100.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked AS Monaco FC50c334.5$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.254141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked AS Monaco FC50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15023260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb52…14dbbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed AS Monaco FC52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.469447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed AS Monaco FC50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1257163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed AS Monaco FC50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12010952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed AS Monaco FC74c239.74$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2626660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Paris Saint-Germain FC20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed Paris Saint-Germain FC49c199.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.495352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed AS Monaco FC51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed AS Monaco FC51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed AS Monaco FC50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed AS Monaco FC50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7831…9dc1backed AS Monaco FC50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3862…5cdebacked AS Monaco FC51c158.97$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…ccf1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC50c152.26$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30e0…48a4backed Paris Saint-Germain FC50c152.23$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce9…f9f1backed AS Monaco FC51c150.82$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d82…a5b1backed AS Monaco FC50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed AS Monaco FC50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7520860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked AS Monaco FC50c147.06$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.531241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb97…5bb6backed AS Monaco FC50c146.51$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca2…b1ecbacked AS Monaco FC50c146$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Paris Saint-Germain FC50c142$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd196…15cebacked AS Monaco FC51c139.9$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeefc…49babacked Paris Saint-Germain FC50c136.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8e15backed Paris Saint-Germain FC50c135.26$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x955e…10c9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC51c132.26$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc24b…40d1backed AS Monaco FC51c130.87$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8c…18abbacked AS Monaco FC51c128.87$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee0…6b74backed Paris Saint-Germain FC51c128.56$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf65…ad03backed Paris Saint-Germain FC50c127.49$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x448f…fcc3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC50c127.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC50c127$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed AS Monaco FC51c122.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2717043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x500e…6bc1backed AS Monaco FC51c122.85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed AS Monaco FC50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked AS Monaco FC50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed AS Monaco FC50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked AS Monaco FC50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC49c116$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f9…5eccbacked AS Monaco FC50c114.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Paris Saint-Germain FC50c109.72$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed AS Monaco FC50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked AS Monaco FC50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Paris Saint-Germain FC40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked AS Monaco FC50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb66…5e13backed Paris Saint-Germain FC51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed AS Monaco FC51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed AS Monaco FC50c93.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5733148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed AS Monaco FC50c93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed AS Monaco FC50c91.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6517756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC49c89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6159348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed AS Monaco FC50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8715…3dd8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0cf…6639backed AS Monaco FC50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddbd…e738backed Paris Saint-Germain FC51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.25825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked AS Monaco FC50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed AS Monaco FC51c69.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.831127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Paris Saint-Germain FC16c64.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Paris Saint-Germain FC50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed AS Monaco FC50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307857.7%45 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC25c58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2878…e56abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Paris Saint-Germain FC51c54.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Paris Saint-Germain FC50c54.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.16862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c59…538abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC51c54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC30c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.315649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49a…f498backed Paris Saint-Germain FC51c50.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked AS Monaco FC50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2510158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed AS Monaco FC50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabae…d62dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Paris Saint-Germain FC49c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.54153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.