NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blackhawks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1b5adba25e1d73d876142ee604f9dd1dbda21bfc7c894ef6778f37da18e5c18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Blackhawks, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,125 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Canucks | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Blackhawks | 37c | 3,578$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.88 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Blackhawks | 36c | 3,162$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.75 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canucks | 63c | 2,222$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.13 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Canucks | 63c | 1,756$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.72 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Blackhawks | 35c | 1,227$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.31 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks | 8c | 436.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 392$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Blackhawks | 37c | 374.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 292.82$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Blackhawks | 36c | 292.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Blackhawks | 36c | 279.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Blackhawks | 6c | 275$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Blackhawks | 37c | 270.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Blackhawks | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Canucks | 62c | 263.16$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Blackhawks | 36c | 196$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Canucks | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Canucks | 63c | 173.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Canucks | 65c | 154.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Canucks | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeece…b407backed Blackhawks | 37c | 146.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Canucks | 74c | 134.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Blackhawks | 38c | 132.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Canucks | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Canucks | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Canucks | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Canucks | 65c | 104.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blackhawks | 21c | 103.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Canucks | 65c | 78.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Blackhawks | 36c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Canucks | 65c | 53.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 61c | 50.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Canucks | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…0f16backed Blackhawks | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Canucks | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Canucks | 63c | 31.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Canucks | 68c | 24.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Canucks | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Canucks | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Canucks | 63c | 18.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blackhawks (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. BlackhawksCanucks won
- Canucks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.