NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb567222f0900267954711d050aeccd5ebc6325825934e338f8a2ff9272dfb9b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,196 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 20c | 62,513$12,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,502.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 80c | 61,497$49,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,299.42 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Over | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 25c | 944.93$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.55 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 554.84$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.12 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 75c | 498$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.5 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 80c | 422$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 25c | 419.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.75 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 340.68$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.88 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 80c | 307.48$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 27c | 300.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 31c | 280.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 78c | 140$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 37c | 103$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 35c | 76.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 73c | 57.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 75c | 34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 76c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 54c | 21.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -8.0wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…f088backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 79c | 15.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 7.5this page
- Canucks vs. BlackhawksCanucks won
- Canucks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Blackhawks (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.