TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Sloane Stephens vs Camila Osorio

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Camila Osorioof Sloane Stephens, Camila Osorio
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,133 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Sloane Stephens19c12,540$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.142,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sloane Stephens8c11,053$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.098,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sloane Stephens21c7,811$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.031,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Sloane Stephens0c6,754$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.452,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Camila Osorio77c6,489$4,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.447,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Camila Osorio75c4,040$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01015952.2%83 W · 76 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Sloane Stephens25c3,295$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.9338133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Sloane Stephens23c3,039$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.891,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Sloane Stephens16c2,352$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.8843951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Camila Osorio78c2,129$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.042,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Sloane Stephens21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Sloane Stephens28c1,700$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47641645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Sloane Stephens27c1,684$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.5735247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Camila Osorio72c1,607$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9611158.6%65 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Camila Osorio78c1,402$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.532147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Camila Osorio76c1,337$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.861,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Sloane Stephens22c1,178$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9237342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Sloane Stephens21c1,076$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.672,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Sloane Stephens21c1,046$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4834744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Sloane Stephens20c1,002$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9871725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Sloane Stephens27c927.57$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9533241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sloane Stephens28c900$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Sloane Stephens3c885.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2562534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Sloane Stephens25c800$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19746932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Camila Osorio74c773.25$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.572,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Sloane Stephens24c717.69$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.851,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Camila Osorio75c511.66$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.576,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Camila Osorio75c490.67$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6735268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Camila Osorio77c440$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.216648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Camila Osorio73c392$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8496755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Sloane Stephens28c350$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9847552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b0…02c6backed Sloane Stephens15c347.47$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.35807.5%6 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Sloane Stephens15c323.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.524,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Camila Osorio77c300$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7060055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Sloane Stephens26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784626.1%12 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Sloane Stephens35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63d…a59bbacked Sloane Stephens8c274.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.613836.8%14 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Camila Osorio75c268.14$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.081,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Sloane Stephens24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Camila Osorio75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509958.6%58 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Sloane Stephens24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Sloane Stephens24c197.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4614225.4%36 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Sloane Stephens13c180.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.751,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Sloane Stephens35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609040%36 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Sloane Stephens9c154.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.171,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Sloane Stephens24c153.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.684658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Sloane Stephens24c151.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3915353.6%82 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Sloane Stephens25c140$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.399544.2%42 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8495…df87backed Camila Osorio79c137.01$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7710266.7%68 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sloane Stephens20c114.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9581349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sloane Stephens20c112$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Camila Osorio78c104.75$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4843058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Sloane Stephens31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Camila Osorio76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2477967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Camila Osorio77c96.53$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.237071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed Camila Osorio76c93.07$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.342176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa41f…6100backed Sloane Stephens25c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.511234.8%39 W · 73 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Camila Osorio73c78.4$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.461,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sloane Stephens20c77.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.173,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Sloane Stephens26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Sloane Stephens24c70.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.015352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8db5…ee2dbacked Camila Osorio80c68.51$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.021080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8614…717abacked Camila Osorio76c65.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.614269%29 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sloane Stephens22c64.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.046,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sloane Stephens27c64.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.183,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x9ace…0f16backed Sloane Stephens25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab1…5b1bbacked Sloane Stephens26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61618.8%3 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-50.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2246…e958backed Sloane Stephens23c56.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Camila Osorio64c53.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.252,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Camila Osorio75c53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0214458.3%84 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Sloane Stephens28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1429947.5%142 W · 157 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb8…56ecbacked Camila Osorio75c47.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9511256.3%63 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Camila Osorio74c42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Camila Osorio75c41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.251,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Camila Osorio75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1060240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe25…ce67backed Sloane Stephens25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31e5…e2a2backed Camila Osorio75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1019762.9%124 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Sloane Stephens25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1094060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Camila Osorio67c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1313444%59 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ea…c56dbacked Sloane Stephens29c36.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Camila Osorio76c34.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.315650%78 W · 78 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c49…50e2backed Camila Osorio75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.331566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Camila Osorio74c27.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1719550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Camila Osorio79c27.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.870148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Camila Osorio75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6716858.9%99 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Camila Osorio75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe922…3807backed Camila Osorio75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b4…9152backed Camila Osorio76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.326170.5%43 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca1…5446backed Camila Osorio78c21.32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4e…8ba5backed Camila Osorio75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafe3…1f2abacked Camila Osorio76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7412162%75 W · 46 L-14.3wins-0.12per pick74cpaid-13.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x37bb…89d0backed Camila Osorio77c15.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-78.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x025f…25cfbacked Camila Osorio75c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.54077.5%31 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.