TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8db5…ee2d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$103.59
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$296.97
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+92.7%+$18.17
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$63.18
Predators vs. Sabresbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$142.48
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+64.4%+$63.73
Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.49
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$87.56
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$21.09
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$142.46
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.87
Bruins vs. Predatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33.42
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+79.2%+$27.89
Panthers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$26.42
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$59.84
Utah vs. Flyersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+80.1%+$21.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+116.8%+$17.11
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Alex de Minaurbacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.05
BNP Paribas Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Luciano Darderibacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+108.6%+$26.77
BNP Paribas Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+203.7%+$46.43
BNP Paribas Open: Katie Volynets vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.58
BNP Paribas Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.55
BNP Paribas Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Corentin Moutetbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.8%+$6.49
BNP Paribas Open: Michael Zheng vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+55.1%+$17.58
BNP Paribas Open: Peyton Stearns vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+221.1%+$247.47
BNP Paribas Open: Sloane Stephens vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25.7%+$14.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.44
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.28
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.93
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$12.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$2.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$67.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.