NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d41f7cb91a846889719fc593af6a3262107b78a624e71eb65168284334ca402
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,691 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 55c | 47,315$25,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,510.47 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 42,335$19,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,050.72 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 55c | 34,059$18,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,424.82 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 17,762$8,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,155.12 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 45c | 5,555$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.74 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 48c | 4,027$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.32 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 46c | 2,745$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.7 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 2,631$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.79 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 56c | 2,344$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.79 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 1,927$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.03 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 52c | 1,487$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.89 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,412$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.76 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 967$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.75 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 926.06$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.73 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 46c | 828$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.88 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 712.1$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.79 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 3c | 708$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Under | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 626.94$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.09 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 53c | 612.33$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.86 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 338.45$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.84 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 51c | 210$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 154$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 46c | 112.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked Over | 54c | 79.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Under | 48c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db5…ee2dbacked Over | 54c | 55.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 45c | 44.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 46c | 44.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 46c | 44.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 47c | 37.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…4d15backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a2…0d58backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Over | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 46c | 21.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 5.5this page
- Rangers vs. DevilsDevils won
- Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.