NHL · resolved market
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78eca58efa4e15b7bf3710ce81c9bfff8d559d0ddb8b0de2ed3c340d62422a31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Devils, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,815 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Rangers | 1c | 2,913$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Rangers | 3c | 601.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Devils | 59c | 500$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rangers | 43c | 367.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.96 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Devils | 49c | 241.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rangers | 18c | 223$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Devils | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Devils | 19c | 199.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Rangers | 65c | 183.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 56c | 139.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Devils | 34c | 124.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Rangers | 65c | 123.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Devils | 35c | 116.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Rangers | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Devils | 37c | 106$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Rangers | 66c | 103.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…b68dbacked Rangers | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Devils | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Devils | 42c | 99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Rangers | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Devils | 35c | 94.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Devils | 36c | 85.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Rangers | 65c | 77.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…4b91backed Rangers | 76c | 65.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rangers | 72c | 57.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Rangers | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf146…fd00backed Devils | 40c | 49.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Rangers | 66c | 43.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Rangers | 28c | 40.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Rangers | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x894d…cdb0backed Devils | 38c | 34.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Devils | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Rangers | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Devils | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Rangers | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Rangers | 54c | 27.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Rangers | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Rangers | 64c | 21.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rangers | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)this page
- Rangers vs. DevilsDevils won
- Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.