Mls · resolved market
Atlanta United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d594ac9f331c9dda645d44f0c70d46d6f44428359e685aa3a94437bbc7115a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,846 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under | 51c | 109,999$55,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,562.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Over | 51c | 108,838$55,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,765.86 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 17,632$8,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,935.59 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 13,784$6,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,993.41 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 49c | 11,275$5,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,546.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 49c | 11,172$5,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,502.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 50c | 8,800$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 50c | 8,400$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Under | 49c | 7,347$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 6,784$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.23 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…d56abacked Under | 51c | 6,601$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…77f2backed Over | 49c | 3,922$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 49c | 3,498$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.92 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 48c | 2,819$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.22 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 2,014$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.5 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 48c | 1,284$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.93 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 1,051$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 51c | 940$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.6 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 49c | 890$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.9 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 666.49$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.91 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Over | 52c | 581.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 50c | 505.93$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.44 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 204$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 38c | 194.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 61c | 194$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 49c | 169.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 50c | 155.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 49c | 145.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 49c | 134$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 52c | 126.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Under | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Under | 49c | 122.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Over | 51c | 115.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 49c | 115$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db5…ee2dbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 50c | 99.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 99.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 49c | 90.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 49c | 89.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Over | 49c | 89.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 88.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 50c | 87.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 63c | 85.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 49c | 82.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 52c | 79.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 49c | 74.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 50c | 71.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Under | 52c | 66.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…b02fbacked Over | 49c | 61.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 58.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 58.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a4…78a2backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…8b64backed Over | 52c | 43.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa931…330abacked Under | 49c | 41.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 51c | 40.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…639ebacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…4a44backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…ae1bbacked Under | 49c | 31.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5this page
- Atlanta United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.