TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Katie Volynets vs Jelena Ostapenko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jelena Ostapenkoof Katie Volynets, Jelena Ostapenko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,258 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Katie Volynets16c6,911$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.711,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Katie Volynets15c5,431$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.277,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Katie Volynets16c5,173$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.2681349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Katie Volynets14c4,642$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.32,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Katie Volynets27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40575543.4%328 W · 427 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Katie Volynets32c1,500$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.831,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Katie Volynets36c1,378$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.251,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Jelena Ostapenko62c1,290$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.3230241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Jelena Ostapenko74c1,159$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.186,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Katie Volynets14c675.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.682,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf55e…0016backed Katie Volynets39c670$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Katie Volynets17c585.15$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4817552.6%92 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Katie Volynets38c499.97$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9943042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Jelena Ostapenko61c495$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.051,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Katie Volynets25c427.81$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.022,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Katie Volynets26c377.7$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9747946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Katie Volynets20c363.33$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.812,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Katie Volynets35c345$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.911,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Katie Volynets20c344.02$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.116,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…6af2backed Katie Volynets25c336$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6812835.2%45 W · 83 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Jelena Ostapenko69c300.56$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.114,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Jelena Ostapenko62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11459348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Katie Volynets16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4813923.7%33 W · 106 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Katie Volynets39c299.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11746932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Katie Volynets40c283$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.21,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Katie Volynets16c266.47$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.851,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Katie Volynets39c245.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.421,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Katie Volynets21c245.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5143951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jelena Ostapenko68c212.48$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Katie Volynets38c197.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7569350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Katie Volynets18c172.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.354,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Katie Volynets30c162.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1228835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Jelena Ostapenko60c160$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Katie Volynets31c157.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7568026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Katie Volynets40c153$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.21,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Jelena Ostapenko61c144.59$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.621,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Jelena Ostapenko77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Jelena Ostapenko62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0326759.6%159 W · 108 L-1.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Katie Volynets39c127.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6366452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26c…ffddbacked Katie Volynets27c125.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Katie Volynets15c125.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.953,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Katie Volynets16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.270829.1%206 W · 502 L+0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Jelena Ostapenko61c109.58$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7431753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Katie Volynets22c109.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.231,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Katie Volynets40c108.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4655641.2%229 W · 327 L-2.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Katie Volynets36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.81,90444.1%839 W · 1,065 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Jelena Ostapenko62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5377967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Katie Volynets15c92.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.624244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jelena Ostapenko60c89.8$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.923,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Katie Volynets40c85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3460055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd52…07aabacked Jelena Ostapenko61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9716762.9%105 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1186…0d03backed Jelena Ostapenko61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9716657.8%96 W · 70 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Katie Volynets14c80.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.018231.7%26 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Katie Volynets15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Jelena Ostapenko75c77.87$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1580938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Katie Volynets38c66.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.111,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jelena Ostapenko76c66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.151,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Jelena Ostapenko62c53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.148855.7%49 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Jelena Ostapenko60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,75449.1%862 W · 892 L+56.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Jelena Ostapenko61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1832649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Jelena Ostapenko62c48.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.382,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jelena Ostapenko74c44.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8238147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Jelena Ostapenko61c43.62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0129461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Jelena Ostapenko60c41.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.61,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb56b…7150backed Jelena Ostapenko62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3216564.8%107 W · 58 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74fd…7537backed Jelena Ostapenko62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.323063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Jelena Ostapenko62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.238268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jelena Ostapenko72c38.95$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.933,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Katie Volynets39c35.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.067,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Jelena Ostapenko61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7990340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Jelena Ostapenko61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7994060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Jelena Ostapenko75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.565264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8247…4f13backed Jelena Ostapenko68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.414761.7%29 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8db5…ee2dbacked Jelena Ostapenko64c29.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.581080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Jelena Ostapenko61c27.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8713650%68 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Jelena Ostapenko62c20.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7758438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Jelena Ostapenko76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7449955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jelena Ostapenko75c19.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.837,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x254c…7678backed Jelena Ostapenko73c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.321080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jelena Ostapenko72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.265647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.