AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0e97d28b706d26f47ada6b739674efe7768bf7a407481008474d5a0d4c4c55a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 12c | 3,416$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.16 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c55…4120backed No | 36c | 3,077$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 76c | 2,991$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.12 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 16c | 2,390$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.94 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 75c | 2,357$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.55 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 21c | 2,055$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.78 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 77c | 1,851$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.05 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9c…32e2backed Yes | 78c | 1,668$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc3…cef6backed Yes | 45c | 1,461$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.94 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,340$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.65 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…92b4backed Yes | 70c | 1,146$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…e69bbacked No | 49c | 1,031$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,020$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.07 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 12c | 865.41$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 821.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…341abacked No | 42c | 788.67$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 72c | 767.77$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 22c | 744$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.26 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1648…a676backed Yes | 76c | 728.81$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…8e88backed Yes | 67c | 686.85$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 39c | 603.33$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 18c | 554.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…c4c5backed No | 21c | 542$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 79c | 527.13$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 20c | 503.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 6c | 464.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…3c2dbacked Yes | 53c | 462.32$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.04 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…e3cebacked Yes | 48c | 462.26$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked Yes | 63c | 453.37$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.21 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 8c | 405.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 395.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 49c | 375.21$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.76 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 18c | 352.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 7c | 335$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba9…c27cbacked No | 63c | 326.16$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 61c | 317.8$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 71c | 303.58$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 19c | 287.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 16c | 278.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 51c | 267.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cc…feb0backed Yes | 77c | 261.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…b632backed Yes | 77c | 260.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 17c | 259.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 17c | 252.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed No | 6c | 249.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 46c | 228$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 54c | 228$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…54bbbacked Yes | 48c | 210.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 9c | 203$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 17c | 199.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f97…425fbacked No | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…bb94backed Yes | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3611…b882backed Yes | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…9112backed No | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 25c | 183.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…d42fbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 21c | 166.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…bbe4backed Yes | 39c | 165.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…5cffbacked Yes | 37c | 163.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 21c | 162.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 14c | 156.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 40c | 155.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…7bb2backed No | 17c | 141.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…a931backed Yes | 71c | 140.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +159.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 42c | 139.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 52c | 137.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 11c | 135$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…3653backed Yes | 69c | 134.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514a…dad1backed No | 10c | 124.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…2078backed Yes | 24c | 122.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed No | 44c | 122.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 36c | 121.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 46c | 116.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed Yes | 72c | 115.27$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…56edbacked No | 14c | 110.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 29c | 110.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e89…14eebacked No | 16c | 108.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 14c | 104.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 20c | 101.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…a647backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…7343backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1770…ae8abacked No | 41c | 91.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 36c | 86.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…582bbacked Yes | 76c | 85.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Yes | 63c | 84.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 80 | 76.3%61 W · 19 L | +12.0wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…a3bdbacked Yes | 54c | 83.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…2ab7backed No | 14c | 81.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 35c | 80.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…8827backed Yes | 39c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 34c | 78.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…b1c3backed No | 39c | 77.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…3c2bbacked Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…5ce0backed Yes | 57c | 73.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 35c | 73.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…154abacked Yes | 29c | 68.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.