AI · resolved market
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3d3ae2905daa2947e1f453da4cda4e7285d6c93fd8cbbb867d0e3f262bb59fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 6,098$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 4,595$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7788…99d2backed Yes | 4c | 4,587$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…26c4backed Yes | 4c | 3,993$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…1864backed Yes | 5c | 3,157$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e4…bba7backed Yes | 7c | 3,142$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…3ef4backed Yes | 7c | 3,064$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2f…e74cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,945$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb9…8fdcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,882$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…d10dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,571$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a89…911bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,373$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…c16abacked Yes | 8c | 2,307$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…6861backed Yes | 9c | 2,274$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dc…1d15backed Yes | 8c | 2,225$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…a161backed Yes | 5c | 2,225$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…7f96backed Yes | 5c | 2,118$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…c46ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,044$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…b572backed Yes | 3c | 2,014$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…9f82backed Yes | 7c | 1,917$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd564…92e1backed Yes | 8c | 1,887$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…c62abacked Yes | 5c | 1,850$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…2b03backed Yes | 4c | 1,849$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…c93bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,805$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd7…8774backed Yes | 4c | 1,724$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…ebdebacked Yes | 3c | 1,684$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…3222backed Yes | 5c | 1,634$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…3258backed Yes | 8c | 1,634$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a1…65bebacked Yes | 3c | 1,574$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef1…85e0backed Yes | 5c | 1,568$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fb…4a7cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,548$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1f…e389backed Yes | 7c | 1,492$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…0271backed Yes | 6c | 1,482$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a44…2560backed Yes | 5c | 1,464$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…730abacked Yes | 8c | 1,452$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d2…df84backed Yes | 5c | 1,440$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…5340backed Yes | 4c | 1,350$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x590b…0276backed Yes | 5c | 1,306$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…8b11backed Yes | 5c | 1,301$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…e093backed Yes | 8c | 1,274$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…8f7fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,257$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 5c | 1,249$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a3…fc1abacked Yes | 8c | 1,201$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1988…bc65backed Yes | 5c | 1,195$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…f367backed Yes | 7c | 1,165$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…1fd9backed Yes | 8c | 1,103$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0955…cf38backed Yes | 5c | 1,078$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d0…a24dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,041$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6004…133bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,034$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…089fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,019$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…2b87backed Yes | 7c | 1,006$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…8c40backed Yes | 7c | 953$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…7c06backed Yes | 4c | 952$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 3c | 943.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…c97dbacked Yes | 8c | 900$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…d270backed Yes | 5c | 868$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5c…0d98backed Yes | 4c | 801$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…e116backed Yes | 8c | 783$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…ef13backed Yes | 7c | 770$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…8549backed Yes | 8c | 738$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…2bffbacked Yes | 8c | 675$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…a832backed Yes | 7c | 638$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…eef8backed Yes | 6c | 624$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…9060backed Yes | 4c | 620$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…6564backed Yes | 5c | 617$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…e610backed Yes | 4c | 617$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…8f98backed Yes | 7c | 553$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…98e0backed Yes | 5c | 551$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe279…1de8backed Yes | 5c | 517$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…c611backed Yes | 8c | 516$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9893…5115backed Yes | 5c | 508$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0c…dcf1backed Yes | 7c | 502$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…6a32backed Yes | 5c | 482$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…787fbacked Yes | 5c | 470$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…a72cbacked Yes | 8c | 446$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…a5d1backed Yes | 5c | 443$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc971…a31dbacked Yes | 5c | 411$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…e332backed Yes | 5c | 379$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…4842backed Yes | 5c | 374$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…b62abacked Yes | 8c | 347$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…988cbacked Yes | 5c | 328$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0877…d166backed Yes | 5c | 324$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…84c1backed Yes | 5c | 319$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651b…11acbacked Yes | 8c | 299.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…01a9backed Yes | 7c | 283$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…b659backed Yes | 8c | 282$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…14d6backed Yes | 5c | 262$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…9592backed Yes | 5c | 226$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 6c | 206.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.