Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x504da22c83dd9196bfae2dd35a01abb07adfc7c11b1c31011fd00006f4cc8bb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 18c | 4,807$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.78 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e181backed Yes | 28c | 1,639$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.65 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 13c | 1,384$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.85 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked No | 74c | 1,297$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.77 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 8c | 849.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 77c | 792.22$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 15c | 792.12$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 44c | 757.63$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed No | 78c | 640.55$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19a5…9ccabacked Yes | 2c | 593.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 18c | 546.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 62c | 517.65$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.26 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 32c | 501.36$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 18c | 492.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Yes | 25c | 466.16$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -19.1wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…3fb9backed Yes | 68c | 429.5$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.27 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 21c | 410.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…6df4backed Yes | 3c | 404.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…1d71backed Yes | 10c | 399.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 28c | 354.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…a12cbacked Yes | 73c | 326.68$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed Yes | 19c | 311.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1535…d77bbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 10c | 279.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116d…fbf1backed Yes | 65c | 268.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +20.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed Yes | 7c | 261.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 21c | 259.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 12c | 256.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 12c | 254.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…5d22backed No | 80c | 253.12$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed No | 59c | 245.31$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.44 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…a850backed Yes | 60c | 243.38$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 61c | 231.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…55c4backed Yes | 20c | 227.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 40c | 219.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 17c | 217$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…5441backed Yes | 19c | 200.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…2978backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 64c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 71c | 197.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed Yes | 30c | 181.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 15c | 166$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 60c | 165.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 16c | 155.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…020fbacked Yes | 62c | 150.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…44c3backed Yes | 8c | 149.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 21c | 149.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked Yes | 10c | 149.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 16c | 146.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 13c | 142.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…f2f6backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda7…3ca8backed Yes | 34c | 137.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed Yes | 18c | 135.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…75fabacked Yes | 14c | 134.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Yes | 10c | 134.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…e31abacked No | 68c | 133.45$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 130$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.09 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 128.01$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 74c | 126.82$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc967…91d5backed Yes | 16c | 124.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 27c | 124.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…b251backed Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 24c | 118.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2493…e9ffbacked Yes | 19c | 118.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -94%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 17c | 106.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…e218backed Yes | 14c | 105.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…6604backed Yes | 32c | 102.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed Yes | 20c | 101.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 27c | 101.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…7d3cbacked Yes | 32c | 100.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…57b3backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 105 | 77.1%81 W · 24 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…fad7backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 16c | 99.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 25c | 98.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 14c | 97.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…06debacked Yes | 67c | 95.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed No | 76c | 91.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 74c | 88.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 21c | 88.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 21c | 88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f24…38a5backed Yes | 59c | 87.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 22c | 87.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…48d4backed Yes | 27c | 78.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…b8c0backed Yes | 15c | 74.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 328 | 30.5%100 W · 228 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…f7f7backed Yes | 38c | 73.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf21e…bcdbbacked No | 79c | 68.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 18c | 63.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11d…44ecbacked No | 40c | 61.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 59.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked Yes | 18c | 58.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 24c | 57.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…1b2fbacked Yes | 28c | 57.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +118%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeee…7c09backed No | 77c | 56.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…dd94backed Yes | 42c | 55.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.