Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e450ea381863c78b1b2812287fd2a2c26bc3938febefa95b59a7f50505dcf60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 725.74$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Yes | 4c | 681.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 135 | 14.8%20 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 31c | 477.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed Yes | 40c | 427.23$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.95 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 70c | 376.16$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 31c | 342.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 10c | 331.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…2badbacked Yes | 35c | 270.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…e7a4backed Yes | 34c | 232.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f3…92d6backed Yes | 26c | 230.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 22c | 192.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 7c | 189.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 22c | 184.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 21c | 182.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 21c | 151.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 151.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 10c | 142.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 8c | 141.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…85f4backed Yes | 33c | 135.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 40c | 124.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 60c | 124.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked No | 75c | 117.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 112.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 68c | 105.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 11c | 103.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…2978backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 22c | 97.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 42c | 97.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 28c | 90.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 90.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 30c | 89.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 27c | 89.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 58c | 85.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…3207backed Yes | 35c | 83.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 64c | 83.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…542fbacked Yes | 28c | 81.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 38c | 80.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…881ebacked Yes | 21c | 79.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Yes | 30c | 76.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 31c | 73.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…77a7backed Yes | 32c | 73.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 31c | 71.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 28c | 66.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 63c | 66.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed No | 64c | 62.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 63c | 61.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…0366backed Yes | 33c | 58.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 66c | 58.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 31c | 55.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc8…08c1backed No | 68c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…af44backed Yes | 40c | 50.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…f696backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…85a3backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 71c | 48.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked Yes | 36c | 47.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…44a4backed Yes | 28c | 46.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122f…f7bebacked Yes | 41c | 45.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…9c96backed Yes | 41c | 45.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…758cbacked Yes | 34c | 41.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 37c | 40.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…2dadbacked Yes | 30c | 40.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 34c | 38.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…e6cfbacked Yes | 32c | 37.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 42c | 33.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 43c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…5c14backed Yes | 36c | 32.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…a952backed Yes | 38c | 29.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 69c | 27.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 72c | 27.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 73c | 25.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…c882backed No | 69c | 24.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c0…646ebacked No | 65c | 24.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 69c | 21.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 71c | 20.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 66c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5208…ec3abacked No | 62c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…8f6cbacked No | 71c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…1766backed No | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 79c | 18.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…2b6bbacked No | 67c | 17.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 130 | 81.5%106 W · 24 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…ef7fbacked No | 70c | 15.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…95fcbacked No | 69c | 15.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked No | 71c | 14.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 276 | 48.6%134 W · 142 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.