Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x993a59ed49c98e95404a2e5fe79a8e777192040acf0c4424a49e1c0d63eba773

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,888 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd6ee…37a2backed Under	28c	10,459$2,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,530.7	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd50…c0a8backed Over	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	54c	7,280$3,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,364.2	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under	54c	2,076$1,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945.86	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Over	72c	1,389$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.08	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over	45c	1,111$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	141	38.3%54 W · 87 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	37c	1,094$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over	43c	696.97$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	109	39.4%43 W · 66 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over	43c	581$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.93	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	56c	557.34$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	28c	500$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	72c	416.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	321	64.5%207 W · 114 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	72c	400$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	232	58.2%135 W · 97 L	+13.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	55c	397.32$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.94	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over	54c	370$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.3	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over	57c	350.88$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+4.9wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	28c	338.74$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.2	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Over	72c	275.88$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over	45c	266.67$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under	38c	263.16$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.16	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	51c	241.93$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.51	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over	50c	240$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	422	40.3%170 W · 252 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Over	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over	40c	210.34$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Over	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over	51c	196.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.14	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	58c	190.54$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.98	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Over	51c	190.28$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.67	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-4.6wins	-0.22per pick	32cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	54c	165$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.6	556	54.9%305 W · 251 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over	65c	150$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	66	66.7%44 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over	45c	122.22$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	35c	120.58$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	408	21.8%89 W · 319 L	-53.7wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x027b…5587backed Over	55c	119.64$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over	35c	117.14$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-7.1wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under	29c	114.28$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.28	263	44.9%118 W · 145 L	-10.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf25a…d724backed Over	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Under	34c	100$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	596	45.5%271 W · 325 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x400e…374bbacked Over	31c	96.94$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	50c	95.34$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.8	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb27e…29d4backed Under	63c	79.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.76	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under	63c	79.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	67	62.7%42 W · 25 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	58c	77.59$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f07…8626backed Over	51c	76.73$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over	14c	74.23$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over	51c	74$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.74	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over	46c	65$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.06	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over	47c	64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over	71c	63.81$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.31	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	155	53.5%83 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	57c	61.4$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over	27c	59.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	53c	56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.16	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	29c	54.95$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.01	323	45.2%146 W · 177 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over	65c	53.65$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.87	50	32%16 W · 34 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	58c	52.27$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.95	497	53.7%267 W · 230 L	+27.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over	62c	48.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	165	44.2%73 W · 92 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Over	28c	48.71$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.67	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.26per pick	49cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	45c	40.49$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	188	51.6%97 W · 91 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over	71c	36.8$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.13	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3160…e846backed Under	56c	35.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.4	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under	57c	35.08$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.08	40	70%28 W · 12 L	+6.6wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	52c	34.35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.6	413	43.3%179 W · 234 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked Over	35c	32.07$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0708…3b30backed Under	52c	30.54$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.66	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	70cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over	73c	30$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…87c2backed Over	72c	27.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-4.4wins	-0.31per pick	60cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	71c	25.83$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.34	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over	50c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	165	48.5%80 W · 85 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Under	65c	24.6$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.5	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+3.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd354…ff2fbacked Under	66c	20.98$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.13	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6688…fdcebacked Over	72c	20.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over	70c	20.07$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.05	108	48.1%52 W · 56 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over	72c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	109	64.2%70 W · 39 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	70cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Over	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	161	36.6%59 W · 102 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under	70c	16.6$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.98	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5this page
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event