Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda544bdc159a6e6da41b8bf8cd8a826bdef7b4a47cdbf434dd7f43cb1b1f7cb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,283 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 77c | 3,999$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.8 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 3,377$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.73 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 421.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 77c | 337.66$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 76c | 209.27$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 25c | 99.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 24c | 64.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 74c | 63.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 24c | 62.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 25c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 23c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 26c | 41.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 75c | 33.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 76c | 31.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed Under | 77c | 25.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.