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Premier League · resolved market

Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,751 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over46c24,116$11,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,093.171758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under52c14,060$7,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,748.8617557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e04…0336backed Over48c12,494$5,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,997333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Over48c10,938$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,250955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c10,041$5,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,426.286,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c8,097$4,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,880.6951750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under54c7,426$4,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,415.9685748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under53c5,644$2,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.461,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9935652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under56c2,682$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.557650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c2,357$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.3672249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under53c2,209$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.162475%18 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+63.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Over48c1,565$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-47%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under53c1,400$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6589256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over7c1,378$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c977.59$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.682,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under80c846.07$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.534,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28223258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41d4…a401backed Over17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c510.85$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over45c500.98$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4411449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under55c497.11$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.77565.3%49 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under53c490.85$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.71450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over44c416.5$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2650644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18439948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over46c389.17$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0210847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.372466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Over46c369.02$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.75219.5%2 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-81.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under55c365.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.695747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over46c299.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9937342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c297.56$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1272,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over45c260$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11732164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under54c229.83$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8331746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under55c199.56$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.810448.1%50 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over41c197.56$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8120644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under54c187.04$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0426344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over34c178.38$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619137.4%34 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c157.48$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7535743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.57855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.58516.5%14 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under54c147.12$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6896443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under54c141.81$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2339052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c138.48$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3161143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over25c134.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6841021.7%89 W · 321 L-54.8wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over23c133$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1318851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed Under56c114.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.294639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over43c104.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.936554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under76c102.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0141343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3359645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4645224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44fc…9728backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under54c98.12$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2449753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under55c96$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.24942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c91.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.281,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb231…0363backed Over32c85.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.314233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over42c79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9216548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.472965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under53c72.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0111850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.183050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bae…5c82backed Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016946.2%78 W · 91 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf16…25a5backed Over46c64.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.53862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over45c61.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a5…f731backed Under53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.851172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.553948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Over19c53.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.255044%22 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.722060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.513531.1%42 W · 93 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.961,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over45c47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1512854.7%70 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under54c46.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2923250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under56c45.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.019858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x791b…6e13backed Under60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4921backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e92…1ab3backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-59.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021043.8%92 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.215534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2927…05fcbacked Under53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under53c39.52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5716024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under80c38.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.91,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x553c…eaf8backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Under55c34.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.373158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under58c32.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.462653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155438.9%21 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over32c31.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.124658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Under57c29.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.895545.5%25 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Over45c29.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.422119%4 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over45c29.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.369949.5%49 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6310848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7922356.5%126 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed Under56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.791952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under56c21.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2542658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.48259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.