Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9e028a27335df78c587001d971137b99f8c54dd4d2cb03a258e4e8b8e5d6111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunderland AFCof Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Sunderland AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,510 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sunderland AFC | 79c | 1,200$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 12c | 1,144$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.05 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Sunderland AFC | 78c | 240$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 22c | 191.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 26c | 135$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Sunderland AFC | 79c | 127$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f891backed Sunderland AFC | 79c | 117.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Sunderland AFC | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Sunderland AFC | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 20c | 64.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Sunderland AFC | 78c | 64.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 25c | 59.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Sunderland AFC | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sunderland AFC | 79c | 24.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Sunderland AFC | 78c | 23.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Sunderland AFC | 79c | 22.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.