Mls · resolved market
Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb745328c5eb6ca91aa958acfc2c24926f43412867e0f94a2ee9ae2c580a2131a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 6,172$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.31 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 45c | 4,977$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.96 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 57c | 2,509$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.69 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 49c | 1,928$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 51c | 1,638$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.79 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 20c | 1,481$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.08 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 43c | 1,413$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 27c | 1,249$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.6 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 59c | 1,210$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.68 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 50c | 1,080$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 39c | 1,067$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.88 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 40c | 804.83$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.9 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 749.19$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.64 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 663.19$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.6 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 40c | 592.68$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.68 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 536.55$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.44 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 65c | 523.21$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.69 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Over | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 59c | 422.25$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.13 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 49c | 358.09$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.89 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 355$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 347.55$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 61c | 315.49$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 312$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…f5bdbacked Under | 34c | 294.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +143%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 46c | 267$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…e882backed Over | 50c | 248.4$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 55c | 218.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 51c | 208.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 193$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 55c | 191.57$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 51c | 189.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…2eb1backed Under | 76c | 138.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 51c | 128.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 33c | 116.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 72c | 97.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 38c | 96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 46c | 94.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 27c | 93.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…e559backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 45c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…3d5cbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 31c | 80.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 55c | 74.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 47c | 66.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 25c | 65.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 25c | 62.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 55c | 55.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 65c | 50.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Over | 68c | 44.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 54c | 42.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 40.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b8…408cbacked Under | 51c | 35.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Over | 54c | 33.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 48c | 29.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Over | 71c | 29.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…72aabacked Under | 51c | 29.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -12.3wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8211…6f97backed Under | 51c | 25.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 59c | 25.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…5312backed Over | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5this page
- Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5Over won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)Minnesota United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.