Mls · resolved market
Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a90b90e47520cf638f94505e7f5b4923f3ec15273e80f28450a9d6c2d922e14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 66c | 824.61$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.69 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 685.3$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.82 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 395.38$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.61 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 47c | 355.39$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.94 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 28c | 317.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 242.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 78c | 223.39$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 48c | 199.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 67c | 97.19$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 59c | 76.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 70c | 71.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 64c | 65.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed No | 34c | 62.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…4cc0backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 57.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 61c | 44.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 52c | 43.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 30c | 38.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 40c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Yes | 66c | 30.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 52c | 27.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 66c | 17.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 66c | 16.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Yes | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5Over won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5Under won
- Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)Minnesota United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.