Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae4b19396b0546f0eff70d2dff15facc6c7ecb78cd3a2dc082a745a4b2462344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 41c | 3,426$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.38 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 60c | 2,580$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.83 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 2,246$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,051$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.9 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 24c | 1,009$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.02 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 43c | 697.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.99 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 36c | 635.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 40c | 627.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.48 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 21c | 625.66$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 80c | 606.79$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 551.63$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.92 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 49c | 406.12$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 389.62$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 363.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 49c | 342.04$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.44 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 41c | 297.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 79c | 170.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 59c | 167.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…9053backed Under | 12c | 157$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 129.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 34c | 122.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 20c | 115.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 31c | 97.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…0171backed Over | 63c | 94.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 36c | 83.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…e129backed Under | 60c | 83.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 21c | 75.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ec90backed Over | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Over | 66c | 75.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 22c | 57.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 53c | 55.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 63c | 51.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151b…a686backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 43c | 46.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 36c | 43.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 59c | 42.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 60c | 41.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…4406backed Over | 35c | 29.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 34c | 29.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 28.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9024backed Over | 62c | 27.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 79c | 24.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 55c | 24.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc929…b3e8backed Over | 80c | 22.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4a…dd45backed Over | 73c | 19.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…56c7backed Over | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5this page
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-1.5)Fredrikstad FK won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-2.5)Fredrikstad FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.