Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d260bc28e5d83232b859c287ecd397e812f027cd10b08a6d9b0ea371c927539
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 12,705$9,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 25c | 7,986$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.48 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 20c | 7,499$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.8 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 4,349$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.85 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 57c | 3,591$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.47 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Under | 57c | 3,487$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 2,410$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.45 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Over | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 38c | 1,718$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.57 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 43c | 1,629$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.16 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…8e53backed Over | 56c | 1,393$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.76 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 32c | 927.51$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.93 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 42c | 554.56$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.85 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 55c | 545.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 374.73$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…d3f4backed Over | 56c | 311.07$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…e882backed Over | 57c | 295.92$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 287.68$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.23 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 262.51$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 30c | 262.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 253.56$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Over | 57c | 205.44$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 56c | 205$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 196.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 75c | 183$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 174.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 55c | 163.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 57c | 156.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…7513backed Over | 41c | 146.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 44c | 128.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 56c | 126.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 43c | 120.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 43c | 120.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 25c | 118.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 58c | 118$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 55c | 108.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 41c | 95.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 44c | 85.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 44c | 82.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 75.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9068…a7b6backed Under | 44c | 64.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 80c | 57.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 53c | 47.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 79c | 46.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 80c | 38.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…0171backed Over | 57c | 36.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…b31bbacked Under | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…c03dbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…f516backed Over | 56c | 26.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…5e9ebacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…1084backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…d76ebacked Under | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +176.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Under | 77c | 17.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 75c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-1.5)Fredrikstad FK won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-2.5)Fredrikstad FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.