Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e09d56dc4849a29f7dde7801087c46bd9cb3db50e925388aa9d7c05d898b132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 42c | 2,548$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.83 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 1,567$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 918.28$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed No | 69c | 868.28$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 58c | 246.06$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 180.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…3c1ebacked No | 42c | 176.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 30c | 153.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 61c | 105.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 39c | 91.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 43c | 85.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 39c | 82.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…386fbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 58c | 75.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 42c | 66.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 41c | 62.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e1…d4d9backed Yes | 58c | 61.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…f20bbacked Yes | 58c | 60.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 59c | 58.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…8640backed Yes | 58c | 55.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 42c | 52.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…c03dbacked No | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 59c | 27.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 59c | 25.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 43c | 23.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 58c | 22.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-1.5)Fredrikstad FK won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-2.5)Fredrikstad FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.