Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46316bff4fe748fcdffeddf8ccf7643714de2b451ec58cc480982be291711e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 33c | 3,100$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.99 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 2,657$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 34c | 1,341$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.64 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 67c | 704.28$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.72 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 638.69$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.54 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 548.29$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…bb24backed Over | 35c | 373.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 14c | 357.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 35c | 300.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 34c | 298.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…8e53backed Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 67c | 268.89$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 12c | 244.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 14c | 236.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 66c | 210$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 64c | 195.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 17c | 189.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 35c | 168.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 26c | 115.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 10c | 113.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 65c | 105.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 38c | 105.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 67c | 97.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…7513backed Over | 35c | 77.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 66c | 73.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 28c | 59.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 67c | 41.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 37.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Under | 77c | 15.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 77c | 15.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)Sandefjord Fotball won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-1.5)Fredrikstad FK won
- Spread: Sandefjord Fotball (-2.5)Fredrikstad FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.