Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: PSV (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe15a7f5df710ba99e2a66ffd386c51dc9d4e61fecb633612b6b79b6850b90f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PSVof PSV, PEC Zwolle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d35…96afbacked PEC Zwolle | 55c | 1,391$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed PSV | 35c | 823.71$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.41 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed PSV | 29c | 700.78$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.01 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PSV | 44c | 619.71$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked PEC Zwolle | 65c | 450$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed PEC Zwolle | 65c | 309.14$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed PSV | 44c | 202.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked PEC Zwolle | 55c | 139.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PEC Zwolle | 64c | 124.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed PSV | 42c | 110.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked PSV | 37c | 104.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked PSV | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed PSV | 39c | 85.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed PSV | 33c | 74.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked PEC Zwolle | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed PEC Zwolle | 61c | 67.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PEC Zwolle | 65c | 58.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked PEC Zwolle | 55c | 55.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked PSV | 38c | 50.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked PEC Zwolle | 58c | 50.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed PEC Zwolle | 68c | 49.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed PEC Zwolle | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked PSV | 33c | 37.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked PEC Zwolle | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed PEC Zwolle | 64c | 30.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed PEC Zwolle | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PEC Zwolle | 63c | 21.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked PEC Zwolle | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…45dcbacked PEC Zwolle | 68c | 14.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)this page
- PSV vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5Over won
- PSV vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.