Other European Leagues · resolved market
PSV vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c5e1003508e0f0e6eb26487922c86d2ffe89a800cf79165268bd57d817b1216
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 2,615$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 2,515$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.48 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 31c | 1,332$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…b21ebacked Under | 32c | 767.36$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 70c | 626.44$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.51 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 41c | 605.63$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.79 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 33c | 575.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 552.58$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.05 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 60c | 519.25$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.9 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Under | 38c | 502.65$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Under | 48c | 403.51$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…b190backed Under | 42c | 395.91$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 31c | 204.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.21 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Under | 48c | 200.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 59c | 198.59$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 39c | 175.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 37c | 142.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 59c | 139$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 61c | 100.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 38c | 96.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Over | 62c | 94.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 59c | 92.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 37c | 80.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 62c | 80.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 77.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 68.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Over | 60c | 50.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 67c | 46.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 58c | 42.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 62c | 33.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…6aa7backed Over | 62c | 30.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 42c | 29.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…eebfbacked Over | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 58c | 27.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…729cbacked Over | 68c | 21.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 70c | 21.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 55c | 21.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 61c | 19.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5this page
- PSV vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)PSV won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)PSV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.