TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Over59c43,093$25,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,701.933650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under13c9,639$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2079526.3%25 W · 70 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under41c8,768$3,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,605.031,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under41c5,213$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.5289245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c2,658$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.591,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under41c2,266$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.991,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over58c1,758$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.229344.1%41 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5318…a461backed Over59c1,702$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c1,615$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.565,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under41c1,600$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65618353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under41c1,400$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57412552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over74c1,285$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.532,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under39c1,278$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.5719633.2%65 W · 131 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49212050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under41c910$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.117757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f4f…9971backed Under41c901$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.41425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under41c700$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28713154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under42c695.94$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under38c678.04$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8211931.9%38 W · 81 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2463342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2462839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2462846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24617247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over61c550$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.510634.9%37 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20515349.7%76 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under40c447.5$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1794339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16421152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16414453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under42c334.43$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.466439.1%25 W · 39 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12315454.5%84 W · 70 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12316152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under41c296$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.362744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over59c281.43$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.434544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under41c260$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.615050.7%76 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under41c260$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.614452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x639f…75f0backed Under10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c248$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.281,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over71c244.34$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4630464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under39c199.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.999246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e2…ffd9backed Over61c189.65$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under41c186.57$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.797647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Under41c182$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.621662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over75c179.93$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.531,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over60c175.37$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.931,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under41c160$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.612652.4%66 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over61c159.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2633452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under41c156$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9618256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under41c156$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9614953.7%80 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under40c150.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6647155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under41c140$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.416154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over58c134.48$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010547.6%50 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under41c118$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.871,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Over57c101.75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7511839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4116255.6%90 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4112951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4117953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under43c97.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.319751.8%102 W · 95 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.729950.5%50 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over58c83.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.231553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.810156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f0…0171backed Over62c79.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under43c79.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.059329%27 W · 66 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under40c79.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.886437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over75c77.41$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5139561.8%244 W · 151 L+56.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.758250%41 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b8…243fbacked Under40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Under43c67.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.092035%7 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under29c61.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Under41c60.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518838.8%73 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over73c58.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0337562.7%235 W · 140 L+61.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over58c50.84$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3515850%79 W · 79 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under41c49.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.369352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under41c45.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.721,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11560%9 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+95.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over58c41.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.383444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.412354.5%67 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under28c38.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.795058%29 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under40c37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.811759%69 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under38c32.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5940550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1214349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over58c30.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8530049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a9…1bf1backed Under40c30.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under41c27.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4811557.4%66 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under42c27.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.821,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.755050%25 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Over63c23.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.811957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+61.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88fb…760ebacked Under42c23.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over76c22.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.531681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+42.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over60c20.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89851%50 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ee…c9aabacked Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over61c16.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.484560%27 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.