Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2981d807972138f8c8e32f21c836ffe74249c1b9374094f5caa9dfb0bd2d1019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 1,255$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.46 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 37c | 611.55$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.27 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 37c | 404.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 39c | 381.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 39c | 324.49$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 60c | 246.77$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.13 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 61c | 233.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 62c | 217.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 79c | 203.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 39c | 189.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Yes | 63c | 180.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 25c | 168.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 62c | 165.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…58f0backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 63c | 153.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 40c | 151.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 141.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Yes | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 38c | 101.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 36c | 88.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 40c | 64.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 78c | 59.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed No | 39c | 51.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 37c | 49.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…ceebbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…c03dbacked Yes | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 64c | 31.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 28.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.