Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b6ea6b30374ceb4e7fac40b993308b56c9fc2e8295f4ee01446273e6d7296f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6569…a053backed Under | 15c | 4,515$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +400%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 3,974$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.3 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Under | 66c | 3,372$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 2,346$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.18 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 36c | 2,041$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.22 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 38c | 1,859$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.97 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.93 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 1,153$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.38 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 41c | 801.48$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.54 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 34c | 798.18$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.73 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 64c | 732.92$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.07 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…60b5backed Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…e44dbacked Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 40c | 492.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 281.4$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.47 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 37c | 265.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 37c | 187.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 63c | 172.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 63c | 162.37$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Under | 66c | 150.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 49c | 128.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 64c | 119.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 63c | 111.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 67c | 98.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 46c | 98.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 48c | 88.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 65c | 84.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…d225backed Over | 40c | 83.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 75c | 69.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 68c | 58.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 38c | 51.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 37c | 47.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6026…9ef5backed Over | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 35.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 57c | 32.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 37c | 27.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 64c | 19.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Under | 64c | 17.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.