Other European Leagues · resolved market
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79608f8a864f8480d86453b1b12999686d61207463c8d09f17b817bc4310626e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 10,970$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,301 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 10,146$5,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,834.75 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 61c | 3,254$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,124$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 56c | 1,780$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 43c | 864.4$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.52 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 40c | 862.5$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 558.38$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 43c | 466.76$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.76 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 33c | 387.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.88 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 365.41$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.41 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 33c | 359.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.63 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 12c | 275.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 229.68$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.92 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.27 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 61c | 195.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 187.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 155$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Over | 65c | 154.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 32c | 146.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 63c | 124.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 55c | 106.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 57c | 104.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 55c | 66.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Over | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 40c | 60.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 30c | 35.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 32.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 35c | 30.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Under | 46c | 30.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 65c | 23.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 22.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 55c | 19.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 57c | 17.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 17.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.