Other European Leagues · resolved market
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x385821a9a63bd005e1b55319713eb579da519962f807efd59e787a60be5922e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 36c | 1,623$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 29c | 930$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.67 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 769.21$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 62c | 413.16$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 377.73$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 64c | 373.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 338.06$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 64c | 328$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…2ab7backed Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 171.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 64c | 109.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 35c | 67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 36c | 66.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 50c | 49.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…0694backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Over | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 59c | 16.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-2.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.