Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-05-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7143148afa3d7675c04b1a6a23354d214c868e7eb980f01e126b3a6f98b79c13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 4c | 6,255$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.55 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 71c | 3,945$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaee…c167backed Yes | 29c | 3,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes | 30c | 2,690$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 2,337$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.69 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 1,349$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.52 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…b863backed Yes | 5c | 1,270$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 75c | 640$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 17c | 598.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 74c | 570.59$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 306.38$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 305.77$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 285.78$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 73c | 259.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 259.41$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 236.92$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e0…fe5dbacked Yes | 31c | 186.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 156.55$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 26c | 122.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…3c2dbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 29c | 68.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 48.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 71c | 39.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked No | 71c | 39.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 72c | 33.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 73c | 29.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 75c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 75c | 26.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed No | 70c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 72c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 18.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 75c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-05-25?this page
- Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.